Theoretically the CD is an indicator of the distance a horse will be effective over. Using the following table you can see this range corresponds accurately with the distance this race is run over; one mile. From my research I have found that not only does the CD affect the distance capabilities of a racehorse but different tracks and even different conditions call for varying CD ratings.
Unfortunately CD and distance are not always as directly related as this table above demonstrates, however this is a good indicator. Two horses with the same CD may be effective over varying trips such is the unpredictable nature of horse racing. Throughout my initial period of analysing Dosage figures I noticed that these types of horses started to appear on quite a regular basis. I then started to question if these groups of horses held an advantage over horses that did not fit into one of the categories.
I had already determined that under certain circumstances horses that were Dosage weak less than eight points in total were at a disadvantage to horses that had eight points or more but did this new angle take the method a stage further? My analysis shows that overall at the top levels these horses appear in the list of winners with enough regularity to be given serious consideration when using Dosage to narrow the field. I have taken these principles and applied them to British Flat and National Hunt Racing to give an alternative analysis angle on the top races run in the UK.
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Teaching how to analyse your chosen sport, create systems and build strategies is also covered. Your email address will not be published. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed. How is Dosage calculated? The points that Reilly raises about the decisions about how that speed and stamina are measured are concerning and it looks like the actual Dosage Index DI will soon go the way of phone booths and black-and-white televisions.
Part of the Dosage Index was applied to a contender with a DI below 4. This, coupled with the fact that it was over years since a Kentucky Derby winner did not race as a two-year-old, made picking JUSTIFY difficult if you were a true believer but not if you watched his career debut.
The point is, the Thoroughbred is an evolving species and living by hard and fast rules misses the changes in training and pedigrees. So in , here comes Strike the Gold, with a DI of 9. Roman had shown that no horse had ever won the Kentucky Derby with a DI of over 4. Dosage's popularity grew like wild fire throughout the 's as every top contender, including several strong favorites, with DI's over 4.
Along the way, dosage became something that it was not really intended by Roman to be — a "theory" to plan matings. It happened again in when Giacomo DI: 4. For a complete explanation of the Roman system of dosage, you can visit Dr. Steven Roman's website at www. This is a question we are often asked. The answer is a qualified no. Of course, there is more money and prestige with the Classic, but isn't the idea to breed a top stakes-caliber racehorse, regardless of how far it can go?
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