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It is the fear of splitting the vote that can work against third-party candidates, which helps the two major parties retain their dominance in politics. Cohen says it's difficult to transition away from a two-party system without fundamentally changing the structure of government, as well as rules for campaigns and campaign finance. So, the two major parties don't want competitors, and they've designed a system that further makes it difficult.
It's possible that a third-party candidate could prove victorious in smaller local elections, according to Cohen, but he says the two-party system is here to stay in the more significant contests. As soon as she does, she's done in politics," he says. Tamas agrees that it is unlikely that third parties will ever consistently win key elections. Their key influence, he says, has always been through disruption that leads to more moderation in the major parties.
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